TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Vélez Sarsfield and CD Riestra scheduled for February 25, 2026. Three binary markets track the outcome: Vélez win, draw, and Riestra win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation rule (resolves YES if canceled) that is not mirrored in Kalshi's tie market specification. This creates asymmetric payoff scenarios in a cancellation event.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket draw traders automatically win; Kalshi tie traders should request clarification from the platform. For normal play scenarios, all three platforms resolve identically based on 90-minute result.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Vélez win, Draw, Riestra win). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' All markets reference AFA as source and cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets (Velez win, Riestra win, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in the source data. Markets reference Argentina Primera Division and 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Tie market lacks the cancellation rule present in Polymarket's draw market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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