TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
Volume:
$192,137
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Unión (Union Santa Fe) and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket specifies cancellation resolves to No for win/loss markets and Yes for draw markets.Hero Tip:
Traders should monitor AFA.com.ar for postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation is likely, Polymarket draw market offers Yes resolution while win/loss markets offer No resolution. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Union win, San Lorenzo win, draw) resolve Yes if the game occurs and produces that outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logic treats all outcomes symmetrically.
- Polymarket: Union win market resolves Yes if Union wins, No otherwise or if canceled. San Lorenzo win market resolves Yes if San Lorenzo wins, No otherwise or if canceled. Draw market resolves Yes if draw occurs or if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Cancellation creates asymmetric resolution across outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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