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5

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CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
kalshi
polymarket

CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

Volume:
$192,137

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 11:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,036
$28,378
N/A
N/A
$19,928
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Union Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$2,950
$55,709
N/A
N/A
$44,692
Settled
No
kalshi

San Lorenzo de Almagro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,766
$30,545
N/A
N/A
$25,745
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,298
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,645
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

CA Unión

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,561
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Unión (Union Santa Fe) and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation; Polymarket specifies cancellation resolves to No for win/loss markets and Yes for draw markets.Hero tip: Traders should monitor AFA.com.ar for postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation is likely, Polymarket draw market offers Yes resolution while win/loss markets offer No resolution. Kalshi markets lack explicit cancellation guidance, creating ambiguity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Union win, San Lorenzo win, draw) resolve Yes if the game occurs and produces that outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Logic treats all outcomes symmetrically.
  • Polymarket: Union win market resolves Yes if Union wins, No otherwise or if canceled. San Lorenzo win market resolves Yes if San Lorenzo wins, No otherwise or if canceled. Draw market resolves Yes if draw occurs or if game is canceled entirely with no make-up. Cancellation creates asymmetric resolution across outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.