TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 10:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score prediction market for the CA Unión vs. CA Lanús football match scheduled for August 6, 2026. The Polymarket markets resolve based on the precise score after 90 minutes of regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi markets focus on over/under goal thresholds for the same match under identical time constraints.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Unión and CA Lanús, scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Unión vs. CA Lanús match originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Union Santa Fe vs Lanus Argentina Primera Division match scheduled for August 6, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). All markets consider only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. The rules uniformly apply across all thresholds, with Kalshi noting its lack of official affiliation with the governing league and clarifying that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than set odds from bookmakers. While sportsbooks may offer adjusted spreads or over/under totals, this market lets participants bet on the precise final score, capturing nuances that broader markets smooth out. The implied probabilities here can show sharper divergences, especially when unusual outcomes gain traction among traders.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or recent form for either team can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Momentum swings during the match itself — like a red card or a quick goal — may cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities, especially if live betting updates are enabled. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of specific scorelines can impact pricing until the final whistle.