TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Tucumán and Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering three mutually exclusive results: Tucumán win, Racing Club win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up) that contradicts the resolution logic of its win markets (resolve NO under the same condition). Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely, creating platform-level ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Traders should clarify cancellation handling with both platforms before market close. The Polymarket draw market's YES resolution on cancellation is non-standard and may create settlement disputes if a game is postponed indefinitely or canceled. Consider this a tail-risk factor in position sizing.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Tucumán win and Racing win markets resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES under identical cancellation scenario. All three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Source: AFA (Argentina Football Association).Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets (Tucumán wins, Racing wins, Tie) for the same match on March 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or make-up game clause provided. Assumes standard sports betting resolution protocol.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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