TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

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30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate?

Volume:
$1,112,125

River Plate

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 6:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

River Plate

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$452,461
N/A
N/A
$155,203
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA River Plate

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$140,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241,196
N/A
N/A
$82,126
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucuman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$236,183
N/A
N/A
$144,964
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Tucumán

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,041
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA River Plate will win their soccer match against CA Tucumán on September 12, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of CA River Plate winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be based on official statistics from afa.com.ar. With a 0.1% probability, CA Tucumán is the next most likely outcome. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 12, 2026, to see if the predicted outcome holds true within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and the implied logic of Kalshi markets rely on the same core resolution criteria: the official result of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with defined fallback sources and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (afa.com.ar).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final result of the match.
  • If the official result is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Postponed matches will remain open until completed.
  • Canceled matches with no makeup game will resolve 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Discrepancies: Revisions to officially declared final scores after market resolution will not be accounted for.
  • No Official Result: If no official result is available after a reasonable time, the fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, credible reporting) will be used in that order.
Timing: Within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official results are available. If official results are unavailable, resolution will occur as soon as data from the fallback sources becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between CA Tucumán and CA River Plate.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Tucuman vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Tucuman win, River Plate win, or a tie—all determined solely within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of whether CA River Plate will win the Argentinian soccer match against CA Tucumán. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,112,125, with $1,039,030 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare the implied probabilities across different venues. The dashboard provides a unified view of this market, combining insights from multiple prediction markets to offer a more robust assessment of potential outcomes.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of this market.