TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Tigre" if CA Tigre score more goals than Club Nacional de Football in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Nacional de Football" if Club Nacional de Football score more goals than CA Tigre in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Tigre" if CA Tigre score more goals than Club Nacional de Football in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Nacional de Football" if Club Nacional de Football score more goals than CA Tigre in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader supply and demand. In this market, odds emerge from thousands of independent participants wagering real capital on the second-half result, which can lead to sharper or more reactive pricing than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two reveals whether the broader betting public sees value that sportsbooks have missed—or vice versa. Many traders monitor both venues to identify arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Tigre win, Nacional win, or draw in the second half—has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative bets placed on it. As traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts instantly. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the odds always represent the marginal trader's belief about the second-half result. Higher prices signal stronger conviction that an outcome will occur, while lower prices indicate skepticism.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the CA Tigre vs. Nacional match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half of play. Traders who correctly predicted the result—whether a Tigre victory, Nacional victory, or draw—receive their payout. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the verified outcome.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 28, 2026. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price moves. First-half performance is a major signal; if one side dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders will reprice the second-half outlook. Betting syndicates and sharp money entering the market can also drive rapid repricing. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and real-time momentum swings during the match itself will influence late trading. Additionally, any breaking news about player availability or team form in the days leading up to kickoff can reshape trader expectations for how the second half will unfold.