TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Tigre and Club Nacional de Football, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. For this matchup, comparing the exact score probability on a prediction market to a sportsbook's implied probability can reveal where one venue sees more or less value than the other. Prediction markets tend to update faster in response to breaking news, injuries, or lineup changes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the liquidity pool; as traders buy shares for a particular scoreline, its price rises, and selling pressure lowers it. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the lead-up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the CA Tigre vs. Nacional match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Traders holding shares in the winning exact score outcome receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements, as well as recent form and head-to-head history. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and any last-minute tactical changes can also influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move the market in the final hours before kickoff as they deploy their models. Social media sentiment and expert analysis may also sway retail traders, creating price momentum in either direction.