TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Sarmiento and AA Argentinos Juniors, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Sarmiento and AA Argentinos Juniors, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. On this market, odds may move faster or wider than traditional sportsbooks during breaking news or late-stage trading. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where uncertainty remains highest. Traders often use sportsbook lines as a reference point but find prediction markets offer more granular outcome resolution and real-time price adjustment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously based on trader activity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome has its own price, and traders buy or sell shares to express their conviction. The platform's pricing algorithm ensures that as more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its odds shift proportionally. This mechanism encourages price discovery and allows the market to reflect real-time information about team form, injuries, and other match factors right up until kickoff.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the correct exact scoreline receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution process is straightforward: whichever final score occurs determines the winner. Until that moment, prices will continue to shift based on team news, betting patterns, and live match developments.
Several catalysts can shift odds significantly before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price moves. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into specific scorelines can signal informed conviction. Early match events like goals, red cards, or momentum swings will cause rapid repricing as traders update their expectations. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form trends also influence how traders position themselves. Monitoring these signals helps identify when the market may be mispricing a particular outcome.