TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors?

Volume:
$1,413,110

AA Argentinos Juniors

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 12:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AA Argentinos Juniors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$572,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Argentinos Juniors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$479,669
N/A
N/A
$203,243
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Junin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150,470
N/A
N/A
$88,497
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Sarmiento

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$130,904
N/A
N/A
$68,006
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether AA Argentinos Juniors will win their Argentina Primera Division soccer match against CA Sarmiento scheduled for July 23, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for AA Argentinos Juniors to win stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by the official rules from the Argentine Football Association. The upcoming match on July 23, 2026, will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution logic for match cancellation with no make-up game. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating ambiguity across all three outcome markets.Hero tip: Confirm cancellation likelihood with AFA before trading. If cancellation is plausible, Polymarket's draw market has favorable asymmetry (Yes on cancellation). Request explicit cancellation rules from Kalshi to eliminate ambiguity. Postponement is handled consistently across both platforms (markets remain open).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Sarmiento win (Yes if Sarmiento wins, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Argentinos win (Yes if Argentinos wins, No otherwise). Cancellation rule: Draw market resolves Yes; win markets resolve No. Postponement: markets remain open. Resolution source: AFA official statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as conditional statements: Junin win resolves Yes if Junin wins; Argentinos win resolves Yes if Argentinos wins; Tie resolves Yes if tie occurs. Cancellation rule: Not explicitly stated. Postponement: Not explicitly stated. Resolution source: Implied to be official AFA result. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Thursday, July 23, 2026 between CA Sarmiento and AA Argentinos Juniors.

Kalshi

This event covers the Junin vs Argentinos Juniors professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for July 23, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match has three possible outcomes: a Junin victory, an Argentinos Juniors victory, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the CA Sarmiento vs. Argentinos Juniors match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture, with combined volume of $1,413,110 across platforms. The market reflects real-time consensus from active participants betting on which team will prevail. By tracking prices across multiple prediction exchanges, you gain insight into how different trader communities assess the match, offering a broader view than any single venue alone.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. Prediction markets typically adjust faster to breaking news and public sentiment, since participants profit directly from accurate pricing rather than from balanced volume. For this match, comparing prediction market odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where informed traders see value or disagreement with conventional betting lines.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head history, and any last-minute tactical shifts. Weather conditions on match day can also influence outcomes, particularly for teams with specific playing styles. Media coverage and expert analysis often shift trader sentiment in the days leading up to kickoff. Additionally, any unexpected news regarding player availability or coaching changes could trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that might reshape market expectations before the fixture kicks off.