This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Rosario Central and CA Banfield scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Rosario Central win, Banfield win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use identical match outcome definitions (90 minutes plus stoppage time), mutually exclusive result categories, and consistent postponement/cancellation handling tied to official AFA records.
Primary resolution logic:
Asociación del Fútbol Argentino (AFA) - https://www.afa.com.ar/
Core resolution logic:
Match resolves based on official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: CA Rosario Central win, CA Banfield win, or draw
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No; Kalshi treats cancellation as event completion (all outcome markets resolve Yes)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. Resolution then follows standard outcome logic.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Rosario win resolves No, Banfield win resolves No. Kalshi: all three outcome markets resolve Yes (indicating the scheduled event was not played). This represents a platform divergence in cancellation semantics but unified intent to resolve markets.
Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Any result determined via extra time or penalty shootout is outside resolution scope and does not affect market outcomes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on March 14, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on official AFA records. Markets remain open if postponed until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.