TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 3:21 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA River Plate and CA Rosario Central, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA River Plate" if CA River Plate score more goals than CA Rosario Central in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA River Plate and CA Rosario Central score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Rosario Central" if CA Rosario Central score more goals than CA River Plate in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA River Plate and CA Rosario Central, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA River Plate" if CA River Plate score more goals than CA Rosario Central in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA River Plate and CA Rosario Central score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Rosario Central" if CA Rosario Central score more goals than CA River Plate in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different odds than major sportsbooks, particularly if professional traders or informed bettors have identified value. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's consensus on the second-half outcome differs from bookmaker pricing, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. As traders purchase shares representing each outcome, the price adjusts algorithmically to reflect the cumulative belief in that result. The current pricing reflects the aggregate conviction of all active traders; higher prices indicate stronger collective confidence in a particular second-half result. Prices update continuously, so monitoring the dashboard helps identify momentum shifts and potential trading opportunities before resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the second half of the River Plate versus Rosario Central match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half only, not the full match. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle positions promptly. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed under exceptional circumstances, though standard completion is the baseline expectation.
Several factors can shift odds before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. Early match events, such as goals, red cards, or tactical shifts in the first half, influence trader expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather, pitch conditions, and momentum swings during play can also sway sentiment. Additionally, if one team secures a commanding lead by halftime, traders may adjust their second-half forecasts significantly. Real-time score updates and commentary typically drive the most volatile price movements as new information emerges.