CA River Plate and CA Boca Juniors, two of Argentina's most storied football clubs, will compete on April 19, 2026, in a Liga Profesional de Fútbol match. The prediction markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a River Plate victory, a Boca Juniors victory, or a draw, with settlement based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (River Plate win, Boca Juniors win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the same postponement and cancellation rules applied consistently across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the Argentine Football Association (AFA) and Liga Profesional de Fútbol, as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus may be used if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if River Plate wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
Market resolves YES if Boca Juniors wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets (River Plate win, Boca Juniors win, or draw) will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for April 19, 2026 is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES while both win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official AFA/Liga Profesional statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
Scope: Regular Time Only: Resolution is based solely on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalty shootouts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the AFA or Liga Profesional de Fútbol, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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