TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield
polymarket
kalshi

CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield

Volume:
$218,213

River Plate

 - Kalshi

River Plate - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

River Plate

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91,045
N/A
N/A
$56,424
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA River Plate

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Banfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,245
N/A
N/A
$31,609
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,548
N/A
N/A
$12,638
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Banfield

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,230
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA River Plate and CA Banfield scheduled for February 26, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final outcome (River Plate win, draw, or Banfield win) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution logic for game cancellation with no makeup. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Kalshi's rules do not explicitly address this edge case, creating potential settlement conflict.Hero tip: Verify Kalshi's official cancellation protocol before trading. If the game is canceled, Polymarket draw market will resolve Yes while Kalshi tie market resolution remains ambiguous. This creates arbitrage risk and basis trading opportunities if one platform clarifies its stance before the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: River Plate win resolves Yes if River Plate wins, No if canceled; Draw resolves Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup; Banfield win resolves Yes if Banfield wins, No if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets covering all possibilities (River Plate win, Tie, Banfield win). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation protocol not explicitly stated. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the River Plate vs Banfield professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.