TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield
Volume:
$218,213
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA River Plate and CA Banfield scheduled for February 26, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final outcome (River Plate win, draw, or Banfield win) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution logic for game cancellation with no makeup. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Kalshi's rules do not explicitly address this edge case, creating potential settlement conflict.Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's official cancellation protocol before trading. If the game is canceled, Polymarket draw market will resolve Yes while Kalshi tie market resolution remains ambiguous. This creates arbitrage risk and basis trading opportunities if one platform clarifies its stance before the other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: River Plate win resolves Yes if River Plate wins, No if canceled; Draw resolves Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup; Banfield win resolves Yes if Banfield wins, No if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets covering all possibilities (River Plate win, Tie, Banfield win). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation protocol not explicitly stated. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the River Plate vs Banfield professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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