TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 3:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CA Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced insights driven by continuous trader activity. While sportsbooks may publish fixed lines earlier, the prediction market adjusts dynamically based on real-time trading, potentially offering tighter implied probabilities and faster reactions to new information or team news.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through continuous bidding, reflecting their collective view of which team will score first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing shows a strong bias toward one side, with implied probabilities derived from the latest order book. Volume of $76 indicates liquidity levels, while recent shifts in the price can highlight changing sentiment or new information influencing expectations for the first goal scorer market.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the net during the match determines the final settlement, and the platform will update the market status shortly afterward.
In the coming weeks, anything that alters perceptions of team form, player availability, or tactical approaches could shift this market. Key influences include injury updates, coaching changes, recent match performance, and any notable strategic adjustments made by either side. As Aug 16, 2026 approaches, real-time news and pre-match analysis from credible sports outlets will likely drive further price adjustments on Polymarket.