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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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CA Progreso vs. Deportivo Maldonado
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Volume:
$30,859

Dep Maldonado

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 12:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dep Maldonado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,764
N/A
N/A
$8,787
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deportivo Maldonado

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Progreso

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,993
N/A
N/A
$6,853
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Progreso

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,423
N/A
N/A
$4,491
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Progreso vs. Deportivo Maldonado)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the Uruguay Primera Division soccer match between CA Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado scheduled for August 16, 2026. The markets focus on determining whether CA Progreso wins, Deportivo Maldonado wins, or the match ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and draw resolutions.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Uruguayan Football Association (Asociación Uruguay de Fútbol) at https://www.auf.org.uy/

Core resolution logic:

  • Win markets resolve 'Yes' only if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Draw market resolves 'Yes' only if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Postponements keep markets open until the match is completed
  • Cancellations with no makeup game resolve 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no makeup date, win markets resolve 'No' and draw market resolves 'Yes'
  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled date is completed
Timing: Markets resolve within 2 hours after the match concludes, using official statistics from the Uruguayan Football Association. If official data is delayed, credible reporting consensus may be used temporarily but will be adjusted to match the official result.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between CA Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Progreso vs Dep Maldonado professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026. A win for either Progreso or Dep Maldonado after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (but not extra time or penalties) resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the CA Progreso vs. Maldonado match outcome market across multiple platforms, showing aggregated volume of $30,859 and real-time consensus views. It updates continuously as traders on Polymarket and Kalshi place bets, letting you see how market probabilities shift ahead of the match. The view combines data flows so you can gauge overall sentiment, not just single-platform moves.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize different signals than on Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, regional user bases or liquidity depth can skew probabilities. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show distinct leading outcomes, reflecting varied participant assumptions about team form, injuries, or home-field impact ahead of the match.