TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Albion FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Albion FC?

Volume:
$143,739

Penarol

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penarol

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60,190
N/A
N/A
$46,479
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Penarol Montevideo

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albion

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,137
N/A
N/A
$30,906
Settled
No
polymarket

Albion FC

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,761
N/A
N/A
$22,229
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Albion FC)

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CA Penarol Montevideo and Albion FC scheduled for September 13, 2026. Markets exist for Penarol winning, Albion winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets define resolution based on the same 90-minute match outcome and have consistent fallback resolution procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AUF.org.uy)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion, or when official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between CA Penarol Montevideo and Albion FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Penarol vs Albion professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Penarol wins, the 'Penarol' market resolves to Yes; if Albion wins, the 'Albion' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of many traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily accessible and may offer different betting options than are available in this market. The current volume of $143,739 suggests growing interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Penarol vs Albion match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design and fees on each platform can influence trading behavior. Polymarket and Kalshi also have different risk management approaches, which can affect how they price this market. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities.