TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between CA Patronato Parana and CA Temperley in the Argentine Nacional B league, scheduled for September 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Patronato Parana will win, Temperley will win, or the match will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between CA Patronato Parana and CA Temperley.
The event resolves based on the result of the Parana vs Temperley professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Parana wins, the 'Parana' market resolves to Yes. If Temperley wins, the 'Temperley' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result in regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, whereas prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbook odds can incorporate information prediction markets may miss, such as inside information or late-breaking news. Comparing the two provides a broader view of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors one outcome, while Kalshi leans toward another. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Additionally, the liquidity and depth of the market on each platform can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to a dynamic pricing environment where discrepancies are common, even for the same underlying event.