TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC
kalshi
polymarket

CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC

Volume:
$401,185

CA Paranaense

 - Polymarket

CA Paranaense - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 6:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CA Paranaense

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$321,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,533
N/A
N/A
$6,523
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
$502
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,191
N/A
N/A
$2,477
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,806
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers four markets on total goals scored (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three markets on match outcome (draw, Cruzeiro win, Paranaense win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal thresholds, while Polymarket settles on final match result (win/loss/draw).Hero tip: These markets are complementary, not competing. A Kalshi YES on >2.5 goals does not predict a Polymarket outcome—a 3-0 Cruzeiro win satisfies both >2.5 goals AND Cruzeiro win, but a 2-1 draw satisfies >2.5 goals while resolving Polymarket to YES on draw. Do not hedge Kalshi positions with Polymarket positions as if they were opposites.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate total goals scored by both teams across four separate markets with thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if 'Cruzeiro and Paranaense collectively score more than [threshold] total goals' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on final match result (draw, Cruzeiro win, or Paranaense win) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official CBF statistics as primary source and credible reporting as fallback if CBF does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.