TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC
Volume:
$401,185
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between CA Paranaense and Cruzeiro EC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers four markets on total goals scored (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5), while Polymarket offers three markets on match outcome (draw, Cruzeiro win, Paranaense win). The platforms resolve on fundamentally different event dimensions: Kalshi settles on aggregate goal thresholds, while Polymarket settles on final match result (win/loss/draw).Hero Tip:
These markets are complementary, not competing. A Kalshi YES on >2.5 goals does not predict a Polymarket outcome—a 3-0 Cruzeiro win satisfies both >2.5 goals AND Cruzeiro win, but a 2-1 draw satisfies >2.5 goals while resolving Polymarket to YES on draw. Do not hedge Kalshi positions with Polymarket positions as if they were opposites.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi settles on aggregate total goals scored by both teams across four separate markets with thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if 'Cruzeiro and Paranaense collectively score more than [threshold] total goals' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket settles on final match result (draw, Cruzeiro win, or Paranaense win) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official CBF statistics as primary source and credible reporting as fallback if CBF does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.