Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 26, 2026, with resolution based on official La Liga statistics or credible reporting consensus, and both platforms treat postponement and cancellation consistently.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Osasuna win market resolves YES if Osasuna scores more goals than Sevilla; otherwise NO.
Sevilla win market resolves YES if Sevilla scores more goals than Osasuna; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score equal goals; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Osasuna and Sevilla win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on a rescheduled date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Osasuna win and Sevilla win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution source is official La Liga statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by La Liga or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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