TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys score more goals than CA Talleres in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Talleres" if CA Talleres score more goals than CA Newell's Old Boys in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys score more goals than CA Talleres in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Talleres" if CA Talleres score more goals than CA Newell's Old Boys in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are priced by traders competing to forecast the true probability of an outcome. In this market, the odds you see represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen in the second half, rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than sportsbook pricing, especially as volume and participation increase.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the pool; as traders buy shares in one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays efficient and responsive to new information. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second-half result, creating strong incentives for accurate pricing.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded for the second half of the Newell's Old Boys versus Talleres fixture. Resolution occurs after sufficient confirmation from reliable sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed under exceptional circumstances.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movement. Early goals or red cards during the first half can dramatically alter expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence trader positioning. As the match progresses into halftime, traders reassess based on first-half performance, momentum, and tactical adjustments, causing the odds to reprice significantly. Breaking news about player availability or match conditions can spark sudden volatility.