TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 6:22 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Talleres" if CA Talleres are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Talleres, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Talleres" if CA Talleres are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges or as large trades move the price. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and include a built-in profit margin. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on prediction markets sees value that sportsbooks may have missed, though both reflect underlying probability estimates for which team scores first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first, and the cumulative order flow determines the current price. As more capital flows into one outcome, its odds shift upward while alternatives decline. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures liquidity and allows traders to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation play. Once the event is confirmed, this market will settle to reflect the verified result, and traders holding the winning outcome will receive their payout.
Several factors can shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp price movement. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage are continuously priced in as traders reassess probabilities. Closer to kickoff, weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates can cause rapid repricing. During the match itself, early possession patterns, shot attempts, and goalkeeper saves may prompt traders to adjust their positions, reflecting evolving expectations about which team is more likely to find the net first.