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CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Newell's Old Boys vs CA Boca Juniors?

Volume:
$746,041

Over 3.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 5:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$127,243
N/A
N/A
$53,312
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,554
N/A
N/A
$29,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,980
N/A
N/A
$19,787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,071
N/A
N/A
$30,097
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Boca Juniors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Newell's Old Boys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90,163
N/A
N/A
$40,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,884
N/A
N/A
$20,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$421
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether over 3.5 goals will be scored in the CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors soccer match. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body AFA. The key date to monitor is August 3, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for this match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the same core criteria: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body (AFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (win/draw/loss) determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Over/under goal thresholds apply only to goals scored within regular time plus stoppage time
  • Postponements keep markets open until the match is completed; cancellations resolve according to specific market terms

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; resolution follows the same criteria once the match occurs
  • Cancellation: Win/loss markets resolve 'No'; draw market resolves 'Yes'; over/under markets resolve according to specific threshold conditions
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes, based on official AFA statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Sunday, August 2, 2026 between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Boca Juniors.

Kalshi

These spread markets resolve based on the victory margin in the Newell's Old Boys vs Boca Juniors professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Specific thresholds include Newell's Old Boys winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and Boca Juniors winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the condition is met, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Argentina derby showdown market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of various match outcomes. It displays total volume of $746,041 and 24-hour volume of $731,432, letting you see where consensus lies across platforms. This view helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market can diverge because user bases and trading dynamics vary across venues. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more retail traders, while another draws sharper bettors, leading to price gaps. Additionally, different liquidity conditions and fee structures influence how odds evolve before the match.