TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Nacional Potosí vs. GV CD San José
Volume:
$8,558
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between CA Nacional Potosí and GV CD San José.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Nacional Potosi win, San Jose win, Tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of a soccer match. Polymarket markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. On Polymarket, the three markets (Nacional Potosi win, San Jose win, Draw) are mutually exclusive and properly structured — exactly one will resolve YES. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Draw resolves YES if match ends 0-0 or any tied score, NO otherwise; (2) San Jose win resolves YES if San Jose wins, NO otherwise; (3) Nacional Potosi win resolves YES if Nacional Potosi wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official LFPB.com.bo statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible consensus if delayed. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to YES, others to NO.
- Kalshi: Three markets with identical resolution rule: all three resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs. Quote: 'If Nacional Potosi wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If GV Club Deportivo San Jose de Oruro wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible — a soccer match cannot simultaneously have Nacional Potosi win AND San Jose win AND end in a tie. The market structure violates basic logical consistency.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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