TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional
Volume:
$329,649
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileirão Série A match between CA Mineiro (Atlético Mineiro) and SC Internacional scheduled for March 11, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, each with separate binary contracts for team wins and draws. The core question is whether the resolution logic across platforms produces consistent settlement outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation scenario produces opposite outcomes on draw/tie markets. Polymarket draw resolves YES on full cancellation; Kalshi tie market has no explicit cancellation clause and would default to NO under standard sports betting rules.Hero Tip:
Monitor CBF announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw backers win while Kalshi tie backers lose. Consider this asymmetry when allocating capital across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets. Draw market explicitly states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES.' Win markets resolve NO in same scenario. Scope: 90 minutes regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Offers three outcome-specific markets (Atletico Mineiro Win, Internacional Win, Tie) with no explicit cancellation clause. Standard sports betting convention implies all resolve NO if game does not occur. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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