TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Mineiro and Santos FC, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Mineiro" if CA Mineiro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CA Mineiro and Santos FC, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Mineiro" if CA Mineiro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like house bias or marketing strategies. However, discrepancies can occur, especially early in the market's lifecycle or for events with limited public information. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though prediction markets may still offer a more nuanced view of probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising the price and increased selling pressure lowering it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the CA Mineiro vs. Santos match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football rules and regulations, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CA Mineiro or Santos FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day might play a role, as could any pre-match announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market.