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400,720

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC?

Volume:
$742,385

CA Mineiro

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 10:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CA Mineiro

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$219,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Atletico Mineiro

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82,128
N/A
N/A
$33,332
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Santos

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$265,479
N/A
N/A
$143,314
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133,954
N/A
N/A
$84,858
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA Mineiro will win their CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match against Santos FC on September 16, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of CA Mineiro winning is 100.0%, with Santos FC winning at 0.1%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official match result reported at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Keep an eye on the official CONMEBOL schedule for any potential changes to the September 16, 2026 match date, as this would directly impact resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi's handling is implicit (likely voided).Hero tip: Consider the potential for differing outcomes if the match is cancelled. Polymarket will settle to 'No', while Kalshi will likely be voided, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity or risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated, implying the market will be voided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between CA Mineiro and Santos FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Atletico Mineiro vs Santos professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for Sep 16, 2026. If Atletico Mineiro wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, that market resolves to Yes. If Santos wins under the same conditions, their market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as per the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are formed. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as participants are incentivized to research and bet based on their genuine beliefs. The 24-hour volume for this market is $724,596, indicating active trading and evolving probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market-making activity all contribute to varying price discovery processes. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform, currently $742,385 overall, can impact how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the CA Mineiro vs. Santos FC match. Each platform also has its own unique set of traders and their individual risk assessments, leading to distinct probabilities.