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5

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CA Mineiro vs. Fluminense FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What team will score first?

Volume:
$134,485

Atletico Mineiro

 - Kalshi

Atletico Mineiro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,052
N/A
N/A
$22,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fluminense

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,188
N/A
N/A
$30,054
Settled
No
polymarket

Fluminense FC

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,105
N/A
N/A
$17,302
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Mineiro

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC. The markets consider goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a 'Neither' outcome for when no team scores first, while Kalshi implicitly assumes a team will score first.Hero tip: Consider the probability of a 0-0 game when trading on Kalshi, as this scenario is not directly represented in their market. Polymarket offers a more complete representation of possible outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC if they score first within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or 'Neither' if no team scores. "This market will resolve to "Neither" if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to Yes if either Atletico Mineiro or Fluminense wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie. "If Atletico Mineiro wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Mineiro" if CA Mineiro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Kalshi

If Atletico Mineiro wins the Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Fluminense wins the Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Atletico Mineiro vs Fluminense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of either CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC scoring first in their upcoming match. It aggregates trading volume across both platforms, currently showing a total volume of $134,485 and 24-hour volume of $129,522. The consensus view currently indicates a stronger likelihood of CA Mineiro scoring first, though probabilities differ between venues. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment regarding the CA Mineiro vs. Fluminense match and provides insight into how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While not always the case, prediction markets sometimes demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes compared to initial sportsbook offerings.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Finally, any major news related to the teams or the league could cause shifts in the probabilities offered on Polymarket and Kalshi.