TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact final score of the Brazil Série A match between Atlético Mineiro and EC Bahia scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi offer binary markets on specific scorelines, with Polymarket covering 17 explicit outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi covers 30 specific outcomes without an explicit catch-all mechanism.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between CA Mineiro and EC Bahia, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. The market covers all possible correct score outcomes for the professional Brasileiro Serie A match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026, between Atletico Mineiro MG and EC Bahia BA. Each outcome represents a specific final scoreline that must match exactly for resolution to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and capital allocation. Prediction markets typically reflect longer-term consensus and can be more efficient at pricing tail outcomes, whereas sportsbooks may shade lines based on sharp action or public betting patterns. For exact-score markets, prediction traders often have deeper conviction on specific scorelines, which can lead to materially different odds than traditional betting venues on the same event.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—typically shifts odds on specific scorelines, as does recent form and head-to-head history. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting-market activity on related markets can also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster moves often trigger repricing across both platforms. Additionally, sharp traders entering or exiting positions on favored outcomes can create momentum, so monitoring trading volume and order-book shifts near kickoff often reveals where informed money is flowing.