TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and Instituto AC Córdoba, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than Instituto AC Córdoba in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Lanús and Instituto AC Córdoba score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Instituto AC Córdoba" if Instituto AC Córdoba score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and Instituto AC Córdoba, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than Instituto AC Córdoba in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Lanús and Instituto AC Córdoba score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Instituto AC Córdoba" if Instituto AC Córdoba score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader demand and supply. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information because traders have direct financial skin in the game. For this market, comparing the implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd on Polymarket is pricing the second half differently than conventional oddsmakers, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Lanús win, draw, or Instituto win in the second half—has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative bets placed on it. As more traders buy or sell a particular outcome, its price moves up or down accordingly. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market remains liquid and responsive to new information, whether from team news, injury reports, or live match developments.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, once the second half of the Lanús vs. Instituto match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score recorded in the second half only—not the full match. Whether Lanús scores more goals, Instituto scores more goals, or both teams score equally in that period will settle the respective contracts. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before and during the match. Team news—such as injury confirmations, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp moves. Early first-half performance can signal momentum heading into the second half, prompting traders to reprrice their expectations. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and head-to-head form also influence sentiment. During live play, goals, red cards, and substitutions create immediate repricing opportunities. Additionally, if one team's playoff or relegation hopes hinge on this result, late-arriving information about other concurrent matches can cascade into this market, making it dynamic right up to the final whistle.