TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:42 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Lanús and CS Cienciano, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than CS Cienciano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Lanús and CS Cienciano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CA Lanús and CS Cienciano, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Lanús" if CA Lanús score more goals than CS Cienciano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Lanús and CS Cienciano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano score more goals than CA Lanús in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction—there's no house edge. Traders here have real money at stake and face direct financial consequences for inaccuracy, which can create sharper pricing on outcomes like second-half results. Comparing the two reveals whether the broader betting public or specialized prediction traders see greater value in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade against a liquidity pool, and the price adjusts in real time as volume flows in. Traders purchase shares at the current ask price if they believe an outcome is underpriced, or sell at the bid if they think it's overvalued. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect which team achieved the desired result during that period—whether that's a win, draw, or other specified condition. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official sources confirm the score. Traders should monitor the event closely as the end date approaches to ensure they understand the exact resolution criteria before the market locks.
Several factors can shift odds on this market before it closes. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers repricing as traders reassess win probability. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one side dominates early, traders may adjust their second-half expectations based on momentum and fatigue. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns can also influence sentiment. As the match progresses and real-time data emerges, expect volatility to increase, especially in the final minutes when uncertainty collapses into a definitive outcome.