TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Lanús and CA Newell's Old Boys scheduled for March 17, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are settling on the same-day outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket define resolution identically: the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 17, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Argentina Football Association (AFA) at afa.com.ar; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: CA Lanús wins, CA Newell's Old Boys wins, or draw
- Resolution date: March 17, 2026
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No; Kalshi's inclusive market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date
- Cancellation with no make-up: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi's all-outcome market resolves Yes
- Official statistics delay: If AFA does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting
- Extra time or penalties: Not included in resolution; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion on March 17, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours; markets finalize once outcome is confirmedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.