TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 10:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Independiente and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Independiente" if CA Independiente are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CA Independiente and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Independiente" if CA Independiente are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Newell's Old Boys" if CA Newell's Old Boys are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than a sportsbook's moneyline, depending on which venue's participants have stronger conviction. Comparing both can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—which team scores first—has its own contract, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. As traders buy or sell, the price adjusts to reflect new consensus. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the odds stay current and transparent throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. No further trading occurs after the event ends and the winner is determined. Early resolution is possible if one team is eliminated or the match is officially abandoned before a goal is scored.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive changes—can shift odds significantly. Starting lineups and tactical formations announced before kickoff often trigger repricing as traders reassess attacking threat. Live match momentum, such as early chances or possession dominance, typically moves prices sharply once play begins. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form trends also influence trader positioning. Any unexpected developments in the hours before the match can cause rapid adjustments to this market's pricing.