TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

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$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CA Independiente vs. CA Newell's Old Boys
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Independiente vs CA Newell's Old Boys?

Volume:
$922,182

Independiente Avellaneda

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 10:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Independiente Avellaneda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$250,012
N/A
N/A
$153,879
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Independiente

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$76,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newell's Old Boys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$360,781
N/A
N/A
$312,930
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160,458
N/A
N/A
$115,594
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Independiente vs. CA Newell's Old Boys)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Newell's Old Boys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA Independiente will win their soccer match against CA Newell's Old Boys on July 30, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for CA Independiente winning stands at 100.0%, with data drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolution will be determined by the official results published on the Argentine Football Association website. With CA Newell's Old Boys currently holding a 0.1% probability, all eyes will be on the match conclusion on July 30, 2026, to confirm the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental outcome inclusion divergence between platformsHero tip: Kalshi's market resolves to Yes for any match result while Polymarket requires exact outcome matching. Avoid cross-platform hedging without careful outcome mapping. Focus on Polymarket for precise outcome bets and Kalshi for general match occurrence bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will CA Independiente win? Will the match end in a draw? Will CA Newell's Old Boys win? Each resolves independently based on exact match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Independiente wins, Newell's wins, OR the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Effectively bets on whether a match will occur with any result
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Thursday, July 30, 2026 between CA Independiente and CA Newell's Old Boys.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Independiente Avellaneda vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Independiente Avellaneda wins, its market resolves to Yes. If Newell's Old Boys wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Independiente vs. Newell's Old Boys match-up market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time consensus and volume trends. It tracks how Polymarket and Kalshi price this market, reflecting collective trader sentiment. You’ll see overall volume at $922,182 and recent 24-hour volume of $913,874, plus cross-platform comparisons. This view helps you spot shifts in expectations before the match concludes.

Injuries, weather conditions, and recent form for key players often shift expectations and move this market. High-profile media coverage or strategic changes by coaches can also sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute updates — like lineup announcements or pitch conditions — may cause rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Kalshi, reflecting evolving odds ahead of the final whistle.