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$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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CA Grau vs. Club Alianza Atlético
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of CA Grau vs. Club Alianza Atlético?

Volume:
$122,567

Atletico Grau

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 6:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atletico Grau

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,322
N/A
N/A
$27,402
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Grau

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alianza Atletico

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,228
N/A
N/A
$23,118
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Alianza Atlético

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,599
N/A
N/A
$16,209
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Grau vs. Club Alianza Atlético)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between CA Grau and Club Alianza Atlético on September 13, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all settled within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets share identical resolution criteria regarding win/draw conditions, game length (90 minutes + stoppage time), and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (liga1.pe).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 2 hours of the match's conclusion if official data is delayed, utilizing the fallback sources as needed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between CA Grau and Club Alianza Atlético.

Kalshi

If Atletico Grau wins the Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Alianza Atletico wins the Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets allow traders to freely buy and sell shares, driving prices based on their collective beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The difference between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can also highlight discrepancies in public versus expert opinion regarding the CA Grau and Club Alianza Atlético match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information regarding the Peruvian Primera División. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices. While both platforms address the same question – the outcome of the CA Grau versus Club Alianza Atlético match – these nuances contribute to the observed differences in how this market is priced across Polymarket and Kalshi.