TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.3b

24H VOL:

$206,446,559

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,853,498,357

475,549

Markets across

35,554

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,812

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas?

Volume:
$1,665,421

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 6:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320,566
N/A
N/A
$191,245
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Grau

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$651,923
N/A
N/A
$298,626
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Grau

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Chankas CYC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$614,473
N/A
N/A
$296,035
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Los Chankas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between CA Grau and CD Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1, forecasting whether the game will end in a draw, CA Grau will win, or CD Los Chankas will win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, with CA Grau winning at 0.1%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported at https://liga1.pe/. Keep an eye on October 8, 2026, as this is the date the match is currently scheduled to take place and will determine the resolution of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's resolution logic is silent on the matter, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on other criteria.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket markets will resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi markets may remain open or resolve based on other factors if a cancellation occurs. Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallbacks to Flashscore and Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation is not explicitly addressed, implying resolution based on the outcome if the game occurs.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Thursday, October 8, 2026 between CA Grau and CD Los Chankas.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas CYC professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Atletico Grau wins, the 'Atletico Grau' market resolves to Yes. If Los Chankas CYC wins, the 'Los Chankas CYC' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 57.5% chance of a specific outcome, with a total volume of $1,665,421. This represents the collective prediction of users trading on both venues, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional analysis. The aggregated data provides a real-time assessment of expectations for the match, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially differing opinions between Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs and can offer more diverse betting options than traditional sportsbooks, leading to discrepancies in pricing and perceived value. The volume of $1,665,421 on this market demonstrates active engagement and potential for price discovery.