TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata scheduled for February 20, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Mendoza win, La Plata win, and draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket employs three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic (Draw resolves Yes on cancellation while Win markets resolve No), whereas Kalshi uses a unified three-outcome structure with no explicit cancellation clause. Both platforms agree on the core evaluation window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, regular play only) and data source (AFA/official records).Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely on Polymarket. The Draw market is a natural hedge against cancellation on the Win markets. If you are long Mendoza or La Plata on Polymarket and concerned about cancellation, consider a small long position in Draw as insurance. On Kalshi, request clarification on cancellation handling before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets. Mendoza Win and La Plata Win resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Each market is standalone but logically constrained (only one can resolve Yes in normal play). Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' while Win markets state 'this market will resolve "No"'.Kalshi:
Single unified market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Mendoza Win / La Plata Win / Tie). All outcomes resolve Yes if their condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Treats all three outcomes symmetrically.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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