TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
Volume:
$90,251
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and Estudiantes de La Plata scheduled for March 17, 2026. Three separate markets on Polymarket ask about a Mendoza win, an Estudiantes win, and a draw outcome, while Kalshi offers a single market covering all three possible outcomes (Mendoza win, Tie, or Estudiantes win).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution logic: the match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official AFA statistics as the primary source, with a 2-hour publication window before alternative credible reporting may be used.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) as recognized by the governing body and event organizers; if not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Official AFA statistics are the primary resolution source
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Polymarket win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi market requires rescheduled match for resolution
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on a new date.
- Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: Polymarket: win markets (Mendoza or Estudiantes) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: market structure implies resolution requires an actual match outcome; cancellation without reschedule creates ambiguity.
- Source Publication Delay: If official AFA statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as a fallback resolution source.
- Extra Time or Penalties: If the match goes to extra time or a penalty shootout, only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result is used for resolution; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are published by the AFA (target within 2 hours of match end). Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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