TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 4:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Unión, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Unión, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Unión match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. This market may show a different consensus on the exact scoreline than major betting operators, especially if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized bettors. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree most sharply.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that calculates odds based on the ratio of shares held in each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell exact-score contracts, and the price of each outcome adjusts dynamically as the balance of supply and demand shifts. Higher-probability scorelines trade at higher prices, while unlikely results remain cheaper, reflecting the collective forecast of active participants.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the Gimnasia vs. Unión match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full-time, with no ambiguity—only one result can be correct. Traders holding the winning outcome contract receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Betting syndicate activity and social media momentum may also influence prices as the event draws closer. Late-breaking tactical announcements or unexpected roster decisions often trigger sharp repricing. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate where this market may move before the final whistle.