TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a soccer match between CA Fundao and Guarda Desportiva FC in the Round 1 of the Taca de Portugal. It tracks which team will advance past the other in this specific tie. The resolution depends entirely on the match result, with each team having its own dedicated outcome.
The event consists of two distinct markets that resolve based on the outcome of the CA Fundao vs Guarda Desportiva FC soccer match in Round 1 of the Taca de Portugal. The first market resolves to Yes if CA Fundao advances past Guarda Desportiva FC, while the second market resolves to Yes if Guarda Desportiva FC advances past CA Fundao. Both markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, meaning exactly one will resolve to Yes depending on which team progresses. The rules clarify that any references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA or Kalshi.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, who buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the match result. These odds can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, which are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate different factors such as public betting patterns, house edges, and proprietary models. Comparing the two offers a perspective on where retail sentiment leans versus institutional pricing.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market reflection of expected outcomes. The current top chance percentage shows what the majority of traders believe is most likely to happen. Volume of $1,414 indicates how much trading activity is occurring, and price movements will adjust as more traders participate and new information influences expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then reflected in the market to settle all positions accordingly.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form could move this market as they affect the perceived likelihood of different results. Coach strategies, recent performance trends, and even pre-match betting trends may influence trader sentiment. Any news that changes the expected balance between the teams can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before the match concludes on Aug 30, 2026.