TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and CA San Miguel, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Estudiantes vs. CA San Miguel match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Estudiantes and CA San Miguel, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Estudiantes vs. CA San Miguel match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to different probability assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Estudiantes vs. San Miguel match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league or organization. Any protests or appeals will not affect the resolution of this market, provided a final official result is published. Traders should ensure they understand the timing of the event and the source of the official results to accurately assess their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CA Estudiantes or CA San Miguel would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily influence the game's style, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or unexpected team performance in preceding matches, could alter traders’ beliefs and affect the price of shares in this market.