TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Defensores de Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. Ferro Carril Oeste match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Defensores de Belgrano and Ferro Carril Oeste, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. Ferro Carril Oeste match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where public perception differs from expert analysis. Examining these differences can be insightful for anyone interested in understanding the nuances of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Argentinian soccer match. The price of each share reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable predictions yield financial rewards.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Argentinian soccer match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score reported by official sources will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on widely accepted and publicly available data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or tactical adjustments made by either team, could lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from soccer experts could also influence traders' decisions, causing the probabilities to change as the match approaches.