TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. Deportivo Madryn
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. Deportivo Madryn?

Volume:
$10,783

CA Defensores de Belgrano

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 6:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CA Defensores de Belgrano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Defensores

33%
Yes 33¢No 67¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Madryn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Madryn

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. Deportivo Madryn)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game between CA Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Markets exist for either team winning or the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets focus on a single team winning, while Kalshi markets cover all possible outcomes (win/loss/draw). Cancellation handling also differs.Hero tip: Kalshi's markets are effectively 'all-or-nothing' for each team, while Polymarket's markets are mutually exclusive. Be careful when comparing probabilities across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Defensores wins, 'No' otherwise. If the game is canceled, it resolves 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Defensores, Madryn, or a Tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Monday, September 14, 2026 between CA Defensores de Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn.

Kalshi

If Defensores wins the Defensores vs Madryn professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Madryn wins the Defensores vs Madryn professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Defensores vs Madryn professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Argentinian soccer match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $10,783, with $10,584 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the probability lies for different results in this match. The dashboard provides a combined perspective, though individual prices on each platform may vary. It’s a central place to monitor the market’s sentiment and activity leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and profit margins, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as a larger and more diverse group contributes to the pricing. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes. The difference also stems from differing levels of liquidity; this market currently has volume of $10,783.