TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the upcoming soccer match between CA Chaco For Ever and Deportivo Moron scheduled for August 2, 2026. The markets focus on various outcomes of the match including win conditions, draw conditions, and specific goal margin scenarios.
This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Sunday, August 2, 2026 between CA Chaco For Ever and Deportivo Moron.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Chaco For Ever or Moron wins the match, with different thresholds applying to each team. For Chaco For Ever, winning by more than 2.5 goals resolves one market to Yes, while winning by more than 1.5 goals resolves another to Yes. For Moron, winning by more than 1.5 goals resolves one market to Yes, and winning by more than 2.5 goals resolves another to Yes. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, traders set prices based on their own assessments and liquidity conditions, while Kalshi may have a different user base and depth. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially when one platform has deeper volume or more active participants. The two venues currently favor different outcomes, which further widens the pricing gap.