TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Cerro and Racing Club Montevideo, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Cerro" if CA Cerro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club Montevideo" if Racing Club Montevideo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CA Cerro and Racing Club Montevideo, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Cerro" if CA Cerro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club Montevideo" if Racing Club Montevideo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether CA Cerro or Racing Club Montevideo will score first. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. The market’s efficiency relies on traders actively updating their beliefs based on available information, leading to a dynamic and potentially more accurate assessment of the event’s likelihood than static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the CA Cerro versus Racing Club Montevideo match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first scoring team will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches this date.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over another. Furthermore, performance in recent matches for both CA Cerro and Racing Club Montevideo will be closely watched. Finally, any late-breaking news or rumors related to the teams or the match itself could trigger volatility and impact the odds until the market resolves.