TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score the first goal in the CA Central Córdoba versus CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match scheduled for August 3, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability that CA Central Córdoba will score first stands at 99.5%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the event organizers. Watch for the match on August 3, 2026, to see which team opens the scoring within regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between CA Central Córdoba and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Central Córdoba" if CA Central Córdoba are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA San Lorenzo de Almagro" if CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both Trinidense and San Lorenzo in their professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 3, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. The match must be played within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. If the cumulative goals surpass 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—depending on the specific market—the respective market resolves to Yes. Each threshold represents a distinct market, with higher thresholds requiring increasingly dominant offensive performance to settle positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity rather than traditional sportsbook lines, often revealing sharper or more volatile expectations. Prediction market odds reflect real-time betting flows and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant bases and incentive structures. For example, trader sentiment may weight certain players' chances higher or lower than average sportsbook lines, particularly when new information emerges about team form or injuries.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each venue attracts distinct user groups and applies unique liquidity incentives. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to temporary mispricings or divergent probability curves, especially for niche sports events. Differences in trading volume, user interpretation of team dynamics, and platform-specific market design also contribute to the gap you see between the two sites.