TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the CA Bucaramanga vs. Llaneros FC soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026 will end in a draw, with the current aggregated consensus probability at 100.0% from Polymarket and Kalshi, resolving against official statistics from the Colombian Liga DIMAYOR governing body. The second outcome, whether CA Bucaramanga will win, has a probability of 0.1%. The key catalyst to watch will be the match result on July 30, 2026, which will determine the resolution of this market.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Thursday, July 30, 2026 between CA Bucaramanga and Llaneros FC.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Bucaramanga vs Llaneros professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026: Bucaramanga win, Llaneros win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its probabilities, while the other could reflect international trader sentiment. Additionally, distinct volume levels — such as Polymarket showing higher recent activity — can influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.