TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether CA Boca Juniors will win their upcoming soccer match against Estudiantes de La Plata. The aggregated consensus probability stands at 100.0% for CA Boca Juniors to win, based on data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AFA). The key date to watch is August 5, 2026, which is the scheduled end of the betting period for this match.
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 5, 2026 between CA Boca Juniors and Estudiantes de La Plata.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes La Plata professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for August 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Boca Juniors, a win for Estudiantes La Plata, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning in regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's guidelines. The contest exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no regard for any post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalties.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through decentralized trading, while Kalshi uses a different user base and liquidity model. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often creates variance in how quickly each platform reacts to news, leading to different probabilities even for the same event. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show distinct leading outcomes.