TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Belgrano and CA Aldosivi scheduled for April 10, 2026. Three related markets assess the match outcome: Belgrano win, Aldosivi win, and draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies that a canceled match with no make-up resolves Belgrano/Aldosivi win markets to No but the draw market to Yes. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation and provides no fallback logic.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA announcements for any postponement or cancellation of the April 10, 2026 match. If cancellation occurs, request clarification from Kalshi on whether their markets remain open pending rescheduling or resolve based on an implicit rule. Polymarket traders should note the asymmetric cancellation rule: betting on a draw has different cancellation exposure than betting on either team to win.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Belgrano Win, Aldosivi Win, Draw). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves Belgrano/Aldosivi markets to No and Draw market to Yes. Primary source: official AFA statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).Kalshi:
Three outcome markets presented as conditional statements (If Belgrano wins...Yes, If Aldosivi wins...Yes, If Tie...Yes). All measure 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit postponement or cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Belgrano de Cordoba wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Aldosivi and Tie outcomes). Cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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