TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 7:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and AA Argentinos Juniors, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Belgrano" if CA Belgrano score more goals than AA Argentinos Juniors in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Belgrano and AA Argentinos Juniors score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Argentinos Juniors" if AA Argentinos Juniors score more goals than CA Belgrano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and AA Argentinos Juniors, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Belgrano" if CA Belgrano score more goals than AA Argentinos Juniors in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Belgrano and AA Argentinos Juniors score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Argentinos Juniors" if AA Argentinos Juniors score more goals than CA Belgrano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital with no built-in spread. This market aggregates the collective forecast of participants who profit or lose based on accuracy, which can sometimes reveal insights that differ from traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can highlight where consensus differs most sharply.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. As more capital flows toward one outcome, the price adjusts continuously to reflect the shifting balance of belief. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible result, and the current price of each share reflects the implied probability. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by what actually occurs during the second half of play—whether it ends in a win for one side, a draw, or another specified result. Resolution happens after the event is complete and confirmed through standard sports data sources, ensuring all traders have access to the same verified information.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders will reprice their expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and tactical adjustments at halftime also influence sentiment. Late-breaking developments like a red card or unexpected substitution during the match itself will trigger rapid repricing as traders reassess the probability of each outcome.