TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 8:18 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Banfield and CA Sarmiento, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Banfield" if CA Banfield are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Sarmiento" if CA Sarmiento are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between CA Banfield and CA Sarmiento, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Banfield" if CA Banfield are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Sarmiento" if CA Sarmiento are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal sharper probability estimates than sportsbook spreads, especially when informed participants see value in one outcome over another.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market uses an automated market maker model where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as traders accumulate positions, the price adjusts automatically. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures that the odds you see represent the live consensus of all active traders, updated in real time as new information or sentiment changes.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regulation play. Once the event is finalized and confirmed through official match reporting, the market will settle automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the outcome.
Team news—injuries to key forwards, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—can shift the odds significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates closer to kickoff may trigger sharp moves. Additionally, if one team is perceived as more aggressive in early play or if pre-match analysis highlights a particular squad's offensive strength, traders may adjust their positions accordingly in the final hours before the match begins.